What Will Be the End Result of the Libyan Arab Spring?

Now, that I've discussed the Arab Spring in Egypt, let's move west to Libya. Since Khaddaffi is losing power to the rebel forces in Libya, expect a little bump in the next few days in Obama's ratings as he will be portrayed as the hero in this new revolution. However, don't expect that to last long because it's the economy and jobs that are on every Americans mind.

That being said, Obama may want to disassociate himself with this entire mess because eventually the results may come back to haunt him as they are continuing to do in Egypt. Notice the American Pravda hasn't reminded us of Obama's involvement in Egypt. That may soon be the case in Libya.

Read from the American Thinker:

Who, or what will replace Qaddaffi
Ethel C. Fenig

"Astute mideast Muslim analyst, Daniel Pipes, explains why he's not joining in the general celebrations over the seemingly imminent demise of the 42 year old brutal Qaddafi era.


'The NATO intervention in March 2011 was done without due diligence as to who it was in Benghazi that it was helping. To this day, their identity is a mystery. Chances are good that Islamist forces are hiding behind more benign elements, waiting for the right moment to pounce, as roughly happened in Iran in 1978-79, when Islamists did not make clear their strength nor their program until the shah was well disposed of. Should that be the case in Libya today, then the miserable Qaddafi will prove to be better than his successors for both the Libyan subjects of tyranny and the West.

I hope I am wrong and the rebels are modern and liberal. But I fear that a dead-end despotism will be replaced by the agents of a worldwide ideological movement. I fear that Western forces will have brought civilization's worst enemies to power.'


Will one form of evil be replaced by a worse international one? Pipes seems to think so. The odds are high that his pessimism is justified.

There are those Egyptians who are already looking back nostalgically to the good old days of Mubarak. For those who feel it is too early to judge the Egyptian regime change, study the aftermath of the now almost ancient history of the Iranian revolution over 30 years ago. While not perfect, the Shah was certainly better for his country--and for the US also--than what the ayatollahs brought.

If Qaddaffi is ultimately deposed, the price to rebuild Libya will be tremendous. Not shown or mentioned in the euphoric news reports is the vast destruction from this bloody civil war; the many civilian dead and injured, the thousands displaced or refugees in neighboring countries, the infrastructure damage.

And who will continue paying for this $896 million--so far--'kinetic military operation' to bring Muslim law to Libya? The revenues from Libya's oil? Our mostly broke, now you see them, now you don't, NATO allies? Hmmm."


Then, we have this little gem from Jihad Watch:

Libyan draft Constitution: "Islam is the Religion of the State, and the principal source of legislation is Islamic Jurisprudence (Sharia)"

"Maybe the secular, democratic, pro-Western forces among the Libyan rebels will keep anything like this draft Constitution from being implemented. How likely do you think that is? It seems extraordinarily unlikely to me, and yet it is taken for granted by all those who wield power in the U.S. and Europe. Well, we'll see now.

'Libyan Draft Constitution: Sharia is "Principal Source of Legislation,"' by Lachlan Markay for The Foundry, August 22:


'The dust has not yet settled over the Libyan capital of Tripoli since rebels took control over the weekend. But already, a draft constitutional charter for the transitional state has appeared online (embedded below). It is just a draft, mind you, and gauging its authenticity at this point is difficult. There is also no way to know whether this draft or something similar will emerge as the final governing document for a new Libyan regime.

As both the Morning Bell and Washington in a Flash noted today, Heritage Fellow Jim Phillips recently pointed out that Islamist forces “appear to make up a small but not insignificant part of the opposition coalition,” and must be prevented “from hijacking Libya’s future.” Parts of the draft Constitution allay those fears, while others exacerbate them.

Much of the document describes political institutions that will sound familiar to citizens of Western liberal democracies, including rule of law, freedom of speech and religious practice, and a multi-party electoral system.

But despite the Lockean tenor of much of the constitution, the inescapable clause lies right in Part 1, Article 1: “Islam is the Religion of the State, and the principal source of legislation is Islamic Jurisprudence (Sharia).” Under this constitution, in other words, Islam is law. That makes other phrases such as “there shall be no crime or penalty except by virtue of the law” and “Judges shall be independent, subject to no other authority but law and conscience” a bit more ominous.'


A bit."